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Thia's avatar

I think the new World’s Wrongest Person has to be Gore. They showed that ridiculous movie of his in schools like it was a documentary and scared the crap out of a whole generation of kids. But then, like with Trump and Fauci, it’s hard to tell who was “wrong” and who was just a big lying liar faced bleepity bleep bleeping bleep. That reminds me of the comedian Adam Carolla’s bit, often deployed discussing various politicians, he calls “Stupid or Liar”.

Hoist The Black Flag's avatar

Ya, I almost mentioned that Trump belongs with Fauci but it's hard to tell what he believes and what he's just making up.

I am not familiar with that bit, I will have to look it up. Thanks!

ken terry's avatar

Not sure Trump is so much a liar as a BSer. I really don't think he believes 90% of what he says. Doe he really believe he could shoot someone on Fifth Ave and wouldn't lose any votes? No. It's all BS and he knows it. Now, Ehrlich and Gore, those guys are true believers who could never admit to being wrong. (Ok, Trump wouldn't either, but he knows it's BS)

My vote goes to Gore.

Hoist The Black Flag's avatar

Yes, that is a clear example of bullshitting. I was thinking of tariffs when I suggested him. I think he honestly believes they work.

Stefan Grossman's avatar

Thank you for an appropriate send-up of Ehrlich. He was proof that if you're politically correct and say what the media approve of, being wrong is no handicap to your advancement. I remember his losing all those bets he made with Professor Julian Simon.

As for the current "Wrongest Person," I'm having a hard time thinking of just one--I'll nominate everyone the mainstream media. Like Ehrlich, it doesn't matter how many times they're wrong, they'll keep on plugging away. In honor of him, let's agree to call it the "Paul R. Ehrlich World's Wrongest Man" award!

Hoist The Black Flag's avatar

The media as a group of organizations is a good nomination. Thanks.

alewifey's avatar

The AI utopians will probably turn out to be mega-wrong, sure... because AI utopianism has to be correct in essentially EVERY major point in order to be correct overall. (What do you call a utopia with one or more major systemic flaws? A dystopia.)

As for whether you should bet against the AI doomers with equally blithe confidence... Do bear in mind that the AI doomers only have to be right ONCE—about exactly one thing, possibly even only about one aspect of one thing—in order to win the grand prize of infinity I-tokf-you-so's. (E.g., if 999,999,999 vibe-coded highly contagious lethal human pathogens are all laughably clownish failures, while 1 of them turns out to be fundamentally capable of performing its job description, then, arrivederci sayōnara, it's been fun.)

Hoist The Black Flag's avatar

True but the nuclear apocalypse doomers only have to be right once too and yet worry over it has no impact on my sleep.

I'm trying to think of the last time any dystopian predictions came true.

Author John G. Dyer's avatar

The expert class will have us all eating dirt if it's up to them.